Special - Syria Call

 

 

 

The killing of the commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, "Qassem Soleimani" in the third of this month following air strikes targeting his convoy near Baghdad International Airport in Iraq, shocked Iran and its arms in the Arab countries, in particular the militias of the Iraqi Popular Mobilization, and the Assad regime, which benefited a lot from " Soleimani "and his plans to displace and exterminate hundreds of thousands of Syrians in various governorates.

"Soleimani" is the mastermind in Syria of the military operations that aimed at demographic change, starting from the city of Aleppo, passing through Homs and its countryside, and ending with the neighborhoods of the Damascus countryside and Daraa, and that Iranian man caused tragedies for many Syrians, because of the hidden hatred that he had in his heart against the opponents of the regime.

The killing of "Soleimani" was widely welcomed by the Syrians in many governorates, particularly for the residents of northern Syria, where they immediately began distributing sweets in delight with the news, and the joy of salvation from one of the biggest thugs, while it was very sad for the Assad regime and its loyalists and received it with crying, which indicates the size of the losses inflicted on the Assad regime and its Iranian allies.

 

On the impact of the "Soleimani" killing on the Iranian presence in Syria, Syrian political researcher "Abd al-Rahman Abara" pointed out that Soleimani was not only an Iranian leadership figure, but was the first supervisor on the Iranian expansion project in all its details and its political, military, cultural and social aspects in both Syria and Iraq Yemen and Lebanon, stressing that this project will be greatly affected, as he pointed out that the void been created in the Quds Force and the Iran project due to the killing of Soleimani is not easy to compensate for the foreseeable future.

 

In a special statement to “Syria Call”, “Abara” stated that Iranian military support to the Assad regime will be subjected to a major shock after the killing of Soleimani, adding that “Iran's rearrangement of its cards in Syria to preserve its gains and influence will be a priority for them.
As for the crimes of Iranian militias in Syria After the killing of the commander of the Quds Force, it will take a revenge form in response to the manifestations of joy shown by the Syrian people in reaction after hearing the news of the killing of Soleimani, as happened with the slaughter of Syrian shepherds in the countryside of Raqqa.

In another context represented by the possibility of war erupting between the United States of America and Iran against the background of the killing of the commander of the Quds Force, the Syrian researcher at the "Josour" Center for Studies "Abdel-Wahab Assi" considered that Iran is dealing with the U.S. presence in the region with great care, as it does not necessarily prefer slipping to an undesirable war, insofar as it is in line with the escalation and the "brinkmanship" policy that would obtain greater gains for it on the level of security and regional influence, he also pointed out that Iran's focus will be on Iraq and the remote parties of the region such as Yemen and Somalia, more than Syria even if there was limited movement in it.

"Asi" said in a press interview with "Syria Call": "Iran has already tried - and still is - to form a general perception that the American presence in Iraq is illegal and not desirable popularly and will harm its interests unless it withdraws, and the matter is not different in Syria as long as Iran has pushed the Syrian regime to demand the exit of foreign and American forces, especially from the barracks of Al-Tanf, which constitutes an obstacle to the Iranian project, and has supported negotiations between the Syrian regime and the Democratic Union Party in order to win the latter away from the United States.

Despite Iran did not succeed in these efforts, but it also did not fail, and it is still able to play an influential role in this regard in light of the advanced relationship with the PKK.

He explained that Iran had previously supported the activities of its militias to see the extent of the ability to maneuver and put pressure on US interests east of the Euphrates, Syria, as well as ongoing provocations of lines of engagement with Israel, which is one of the pillars of US strategy in the region.

 

There is no doubt that the escalatory statements by the leaders of the United States of America and Iran open the door to the question of the extent of the possibility of a wide war between the two parties in Iraq and Syria, especially with the intensity of air strikes against Iranian sites in Syria during the recent times, and on this matter "Abdul Rahman Abara" sees the conflict between America and Iran inside Syria is already established, even if it does not take a military form, but the confrontation is ongoing through America's allies, as Israel has for years played the role of the United States in Syria and works to trim Iran's nails by targeting its interests and military installations inside the country.

"Abara" stressed that it is very possible that the rules of engagement in Syria will change through the United States of America targeting Iranian interests directly, adding at the same time that if this happens, it will be in the form of limited and painful strikes, and Iran will not be able to respond to it as it happens. Usually with its reactions to the Israeli strikes.

 

Where will the matter between U.S.A. and Iran go?

"Asi" stated that the maximum response that Iran can make via Syria is to raise the level of tension with Israel on the grounds that the latter still lacks a comprehensive strategy to deal with the Iranian presence in together, or open the way for the "Islamic State" group to implement more effective activities in the enclaves east of the Euphrates.

 

And he added that the "recent coordination between" Ali Mamlouk, "the head of the National Security Office to the Syrian regime and Iran after Soleimani's killing, aims to raise the level of readiness in preparation for any possible slip of an unwanted war in the region, and of course the Assad regime is unable to separate from Iran and the relationship between the two parties which started since Musa al-Sadr’s support for Hafez al-Assad, before his disappearance in the 1970’s until the present time, is based on an existential coalition and not just a strategic partnership, which some Arab and European countries have made efforts to destabilize by giving the regime some privileges and temptations to help it and save it from isolation and deterioration that is going through it by years of conflict. "

As "Abara" affirms that, given the reactions of the leaders of Iran and the language they speak, it turns out that the fear of the development of events and reaching the point of no return with Washington is clear. He also believes that regional and international contacts indicate that the scene tends to calm between Washington and Tehran, with the exclusion of matters between the two sides reaching an armed clash, stressing that Iranian reactions will be limited to the militias affiliated with them in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon that take revenge actions that provoke Washington but do not at the same time push it to direct military intervention.

 

In conclusion, all possibilities remain to be expected. With international efforts seeking to calm between the United States of America and Iran, the war of words between the two countries, especially their leader, continues, coinciding with an unprecedented preparedness of the American troops in the Middle East and sending thousands of Marines to the region in preparation for any possible scenario may happen.

Writer   Editorial; Board          Source   Syria; Call